Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 60.882461 69.142948 77.653408 87.043636 97.081868 107.461118 118.973947
2025-03-23 49.236123 61.100876 73.932661 88.706164 105.116495 122.667626 142.741597
2025-03-30 42.420397 56.311563 71.882214 90.350450 111.397270 134.400916 161.215701
2025-04-06 36.007778 51.040892 68.473767 89.718283 114.480124 142.049600 174.698378
2025-04-13 30.064167 45.597024 64.234504 87.547957 115.298365 146.719475 184.456172
2025-04-20 27.752872 44.328658 64.731920 90.740532 122.160138 158.150291 201.787443
2025-04-27 25.253010 42.532037 64.353002 92.685199 127.397501 167.593186 216.759687
2025-05-04 22.031901 39.454585 62.104617 92.113032 129.439077 173.158876 227.127293
2025-05-11 19.106526 36.486037 59.760155 91.217566 130.921930 177.935750 236.469938
2025-05-18 17.121192 34.652048 58.752735 91.890072 134.230880 184.818846 248.245364
2025-05-25 14.963366 32.342837 56.937733 91.381210 135.961583 189.722966 257.613184
2025-06-01 13.314848 30.640925 55.830072 91.695353 138.648362 195.732499 268.266535
2025-06-08 11.372897 28.287071 53.690891 90.570325 139.486614 199.506159 276.300718
2025-06-15 10.341671 27.333320 53.493953 92.020498 143.608598 207.323967 289.249413
2025-06-22 9.483477 26.580487 53.526960 93.738594 148.048727 215.523429 302.664224
2025-06-29 8.147279 24.803938 51.913211 93.086844 149.327680 219.738329 311.185623
2025-07-06 6.632669 22.462542 49.275573 90.868704 148.440707 221.160136 316.219683
2025-07-13 6.379077 22.586758 50.488311 94.132517 154.855586 231.817318 332.671639
2025-07-20 5.901069 22.186444 50.829041 96.120170 159.553147 240.300463 346.448805
2025-07-27 5.013102 20.773347 49.443032 95.535396 160.739080 244.283215 354.622856
2025-08-03 4.175920 19.315135 47.883211 94.620141 161.421437 247.584028 361.922337
2025-08-10 3.667191 18.542261 47.426198 95.307516 164.272391 253.663188 372.697714
2025-08-17 3.053177 17.370979 46.204203 94.787407 165.420802 257.517692 380.666896